Thursday, March 8, 2012

Brisbane Roar facing uphill battle in Asia



Brisbane Roar entered a new phase in it's evolution last Tuesday night when hosting their very first Asian Champions League match against Japanese outfit Tokyo FC, who were minus 2 of their more influential players.

The current Australian Champions entered the game as massive favourites against their Asian counterparts but it soon became obvious that it was going to be anything but an easy night for the Brisbanites. Not only did Tokyo FC play a similar style of game to Brisbane, but it appeared they were at least as good at it. As the game wore on it became evident that they were in fact much better at it, and that Brisbane needed a minor miracle to even escape with a point. That unfortunately didn't eventutate and they were quite clearly the inferior team on the night beaten by, what has to be said, a very classy and clinical opponent, 2 goals to nil.

So what went wrong and can things be rectified?

Firstly coach Postecoglou admitted before the game that his team was very much 'in the dark' as to the quality of their opponents, despite the fact that assistant coach Rado Vidosic had travelled to Japan to watch the Tokyo side unluckily lose (apparently) the weekend before this match.
From what I did read Vidosic was impressed by what he saw and supposedly told all involved that they would be difficult opponents.
It doesn't appear though that the message was totally heeded by the players and around 20 minutes into the game it seemed that the Roar players were quite shellshocked, and perhaps overawed by the speed, technical ability, and passing accuracy of their opponent. It was nothing like what they had experienced in their last 2 years in the A-League, and as a result they struggled to come to grips with the game thereafter.

One of the problems Brisbane Roar will have to overcome to progress in this competition is an over reliance in concentrating on their own game, and not concerning themselves enough with their opposition. That factor has largely worked very well for them in the A-League, as they have been the quality side of the competition the past 2 seasons, and more often than not opponents have failed to counter the style they employ, which ironically is very much the same style that the Japanese, Korean and Chinese teams bring to the table.
To progress any further form the group stages of this tournament I'd suggest that the coaching staff look at a lot more at footage of the remaining teams they will play within their group.
It was patently obvious  that Tokyo FC management had done so in respect to Brisbane before this match. They gave them no time whatsover to settle into a rhythm, stopped them playing out from the back, and correctly pinpointed Broich, Berisha & perhaps Erik Paartalu as the danger men. All 3 were nullified to a great extent during proceedings.

Secondly, assuming that is carried out the next question is can Brisbane adapt to counter the playing style of their Asian opponents, who are expectedly of similar ilk to Tokyo FC technically?
You'd have to think it is doubtful as even in the A-League this year, teams have learnt to play smarter against them, either 'parking the bus' or playing a high pressing game which at times Brisbane have failed to overcome, as evidenced by that 5 match losing streak in the middle of the season. They certainly haven't dominated the competition as they did last season which suggests that other teams have not only improved, they have also learnt to counterract their playing style.
During the poor run and at other times  this season coach Postecoglou has  murmured that his team will keep doing what they are doing, playing out from the back, just need to be quicker in transition, more penetrative in attack, and more clinical with their finishing. Recently all those things have pretty much come to fruition and things were looking pretty rosy leading into this match, with the possible exception of their prior game against Melbourne Heart where they failed to really impress in a 1-1 draw.

Quite obviously 'doing what they are doing' isn't going to cut in in Asia on the evidence of this match. Being quicker in transition will help, but only bring them up to speed with their opponents, and without that ability to move the ball quicker from defence to attack, their penetration and ability to create, let alone finish chances will be severely compromised.
As Fox Sports commentator Mark Bosnich probably correctly suggested at half time during this game; "Brisbane need to start knocking some long balls over the top (not exclusively but occasionally) just to get their opponent facing their own goal and on the back foot". The fact that did not happen in the second half suggests that coach Postecoglou has either;

a) not come to grips with that realisation yet

 or

b) isn't interested in emloying the method at all.

I'd say the latter is more accurate and it could well be a case of  'adapt or perish' for the Roar.

After the game both the coach and players admitted they were surprised that the opposition were of such quality, but that they would gain a lot from the experience and be better for it.
That maybe so but it's hardly likely this team will carry the same confidence into their remaining matches in the group and just being aware of how good the oppositon could be, and lifting their intensity to match that of their opponent isn't likely to 'bring home the bacon'. A very careful study of their opposition, employing methods of beating them and 'throwing some caution to the wind' are going to be tantamount to any future success in the competition, coupled with the realisation that their A-League status just isn't going to be good enough.

Both Adelaide United & Central Coast secured much better results 'on the road' in their respective games in the competition, against seemingly just as tough opposition. They both play a different style of game to Brisbane and probably a less predictable one to Asian opposition. Neither were in peak form leading in (especially Adelaide!) but probably gave a little more respect to their opponent, as a result of their indifferent form, and the fact that they were the visitors.

Brisbane Roar will soon find themselves in much the same situation and will need to play with similar resolve to get any kind of favourable result.


Sunday, February 26, 2012

Berisha breaking new ground!



When the Australian A-League player awards are conducted later this season it is very likely that Brisbane Roars' Besart Berisha will 'scoop the pool' with at least 3 accolades bestowed upon him.
I'm not quite sure what the categories are, but right now he would appear to be a 'shoe in' for 3 awards that have been presented in the past;

a) Top Goalscorer
b) Best Player
c) Best Import

With 17 goals this season from 23 A-League matches at an average of 0.77 goals per game  one could be forgiven for thinking that Besart is typical of the single minded Striker who solely benefits from industrious team mates, and merely finishes off their good work at the pointy end of attacks.

But in reality nothing could be further from the truth. Anybody that thinks otherwise really needs to have a good look at last nights Round 23 clash against Perth Glory (in Perth) as just one example.
Not only did he slot home 2, and make 1 of the 3 goals Brisbane Roar scored, his true worth really stood out from the 65th minute mark, directly after his strike partner Henrique was sent from the field.
From that point on Berisha (I'm assuming) took it upon himself to largely relinquish his central striker role, freeing himself up to stem attacking raids deep inside his teams defensive 3rd of the pitch, secondary only to playing a quite Masterful central midfield role, controlling a lot of the possession, pretty much negating any hope Perth might have had of clawing their way back into the match.
It really was a joy to watch as this kind of work rate and commitment to the team cause, so often lacking in the modern game. Having said that I'm not even sure that his coach even approved of the kind of positional 'switcheroo' that Berisha employed last night. But there is absolutely no doubt  that Roar Supremo Ange Postecoglou appreciates just what an asset the Albanian is to his team, that kind of 'passion in spades' would have been largely in the forefront of his thinking before rewarding him a further 2 year contract, less than a month ago. And what a coup that might well prove to be, because at the end to the upcoming Asian Champions League in November, Berisha could be the most sought after player in the region, at least on the form he is displaying at present. The A-League scoring record of 19 goals set by Shane Smeltz now seems well and truly a formality for him to overtake, and with 6 goals in his past 4 games, it appears that he will do so sooner rather than later. There are 6 games left for Brisbane Roar in the regular season, possibly 3 or 4 in the Final series, and an Asian Champions League campaign to come, so just how many more he can add is really anybody's guess.

You could also be forgiven for thinking that everything has been plain sailing for the humble and likeable Albanian this season. Once again though that really isn't the case.
After scoring an impressive 9 goals from his first 8 games in the A-League (including 4 in one game) culminating with 2 in the Roars' 36 game record breaking match against Perth in round 8, the goals dried up for him. It was bad enough that his team stumbled to an untenable 5 losses in a row thereafter, but for Berisha it would be another 4 matches before he would break the drought.

And it couldn't have come at a better time, possibly one of the most memorable goals ever in the A-League, not on the score of quality, but for sheer timing and almost immediate controversy, it won't be forgotten easily. It came at home against Sydney in Round 17. All seemed lost for the Roar who trailed 1-0 for the majority of the match until Sayed Mohamed Adnan scored a spectacular equalising free kick deep into injury time. A minute or so later Brisbane staged another attack down the left with Shane Steffanuto supplying a telling cross to an unmarked Mitch Nichols who cleverly first touched the ball, at speed, into the six yard box where Berisha was waiting, his superb reflexes coming to the fore, finishing off a half chance with great aplomb.



What happened shortly thereafter at the final whistle very much overshadowed what could well have been a glorious moment for the Albanian. Rather than soak up the adulation of scoring (and breaking the drought) a dramatic winner Berishas' mind was elsewhere, seeking to settle an even bigger score with an opposition player who had clearly overstepped the boundaries of fair play in his opinion. Whilst taking your shirt off and ushering an opponent to the tunnel for a stoush is hardly admirable at the end of a match, it does perhaps give us a telling insight into him as a player, and an individual.

He won't take a backward step, wears his heart on his sleeve, and has a strong sense of justice. He clearly has little time for self adulation and has commented several times this season on how much the team means to him, and how much he appreciates the players around him.

Add those elements to the his physical attributes- Athleticism, Strength, Stamina, Positional versatility, Acceleration in the penalty box and clnical finishing, and you begin to realise that Besart is just about the complete package, a Managers' dream if you like!


I for one am going to enjoy watching that package revealing even more by seasons end, whether it be in the A-League or the Asian Champions League.

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Gold Coast vs Central Coast Mariners (rescheduled match) 22/02

Gold Coast United $5.50
Draw $3.80
Central Coast Mariners $1.58 

Skilled Park Stadium 7.05p.m Wed. 22/02/12


History and Stats;

9 games between these 2 with Central Coast having their noses in front winning 3 to Gold Coasts' 2 with 4 draws.

The last 2 meetings have produced 2 draws only 2 goals and notable they have both been at Gosford and Central Coast have been massive favourites both times. This is their 3rd meeting this season.

In their last meeting here Central Coast were the victors 3-1in February 2011.

Average goals scored in this fixture- 2.33


Current Form;

It has been a tumultuous week to say the least for the team from the Glitter strip. No more Miron Bleiberg as coach and it is hard to gauge just how much respect he did have from the playing group.
Their performance last week against Heart, whilst admirable, lacked any real cohesion and they never really looked as though they could win the game.
Back at home they are a better proposition ,with one or 2 regulars back but the confidence would stillhave to be at an all time low and spectator attendance for this one could very well be too.

Central Coast are still missing a couple of their good young players (especially goalkeeper Matt Ryan) but they appear to be back to something like their best judging on the win against Wellington Phoenix last week. They have more options in attack then they did a week or so ago, and their back 4 were back to keeping a clean sheet for the first time in a while in that game, so overall they should approach this game with a lot of confidence.

Prediction;

Impossible to tip against Central Coast who are back in from and are likely to up their performance level considering that a win here just about ensures them the A-League top spot this year.
Gold Coast are a bit of a bogey side for them though and have one or 2 notable absentees returning from injury, and have a young side with very little to lose. Add to that a high probablility of rain and late thunderstorms and just maybe things could be a little trickier than it might appear on paper.
I have to go with the Mariners though who are a far better team this year, have had a low key preparation compared to their opposition, and should back up well from the weekend given the work ethic of their coach Graham Arnold and their recent ordinary showing off a 2 week break. I'd expect a spirited effort from the home side but class and form should prevail here by possibly a 2 goal margin.

Betting Strategy;

Once again long term betting strategy dictates that you back the home team here at a very inflated price. A draw could possibly get to the required $4+ value too. But given the events of this week and the injury ravaged state of this Gold Coast outfit I couldn't recommend taking either. Central Coast by at least a goal, and although no price is yet available CC defender Patrick Zwaanswijk is normally around the $20 mark for first goalscorer. That is always value considering that he takes free kicks and often scores from headers at corner kicks. He already has 6 goals to his name this season which is an incredible return for a centre back.